Twins vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 4

Twins vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 4

Updated July 4, 2025, 4:00 p.m. ET

Chris Paddack takes the mound for the Minnesota Twins this Friday at Target Field, facing off against Brandon Lowe and the Tampa Bay Rays. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. The Twins are looking strong as the favorite at -120, while the underdog Rays come in with +100 odds to secure a victory. Tampa Bay is favored on the run line at -1.5, and the game’s total has been set at 10 runs.

Here’s everything you need to know for betting on the Twins-Rays matchup, covering the run line, moneyline, total, and expert picks. Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Twins vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 4, 2025, at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to watch on TV: MNNT and FDSSUN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line Favorite	Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-120	+100	10	-115	-105	-1.5	-186	+152

Twins vs. Rays Prediction

Score Prediction: Rays 5, Twins 4

Total Prediction: Under 10 runs

Win Probabilities: Twins 51%, Rays 49%

Twins vs. Rays Betting Insights

This season, the Twins have been favored 55 times, winning 28 of those games for a success rate of 50.9%. They boast a record of 24-15 when bookmakers favor them by at least -120 on the moneyline. cow 888 casino Based on the moneyline, the Twins have an implied chance of winning at 54.5%.

The Rays have also shown resilience, winning 19 out of 38 games as underdogs this year, translating to a 50% victory rate super jili168. This season, Tampa Bay has secured victories 15 times in 28 instances as underdogs with +100 odds or worse, indicating a 50% implied chance of winning based on the current matchup’s moneyline.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins faced a mixed bag over their last 10 matchups, going 3-3 as a moneyline favorite. They combined with opponents to exceed the run total in four of those games (all 10 had set totals). Their ATS record stands at 4-6-0 during this period.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.1
Home Runs	11
ERA	3.98
Strikeouts/9	8.5

Twins Player Insights

Byron Buxton leads the Twins with a batting average of .272, showcasing his prowess as their power hitter with 19 home runs and 51 RBIs. He ranks 53rd in batting average, 66th in on-base percentage, and 9th in slugging among all MLB hitters. Trevor Larnach follows with a .253 average, 13 doubles, a triple, and 12 home runs. He is currently 60th in home runs and 83rd in RBIs across MLB. Ty France and Carlos Correa contribute with .256 and .259 averages, respectively, adding depth to the batting lineup.

Twins Team Props

Player	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Willi Castro	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+110)	–	0.5 (+185)
Ty France	0.5 (-235)	1.5 (+125)	–	0.5 (+205)
Trevor Larnach	0.5 (-265)	1.5 (-105)	–	0.5 (+140)
Ryan Jeffers	0.5 (-225)	1.5 (+115)	–	0.5 (+175)
Royce Lewis	0.5 (-195)	1.5 (+125)	–	0.5 (+170)

Rays Recent Betting Performance

In their last 10 games, the Rays played as underdogs four times, securing two victories. They’ve gone 5-5-0 in hitting the over during this stretch. Against the spread, they have four wins in their last 10 opportunities games day.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4. 774pub login8
Home Runs	17
ERA	5.26
Strikeouts/9	10

Rays Player Insights

Junior Caminero leads the Rays with an impressive 21 home runs and 53 RBIs, ranking 8th in home runs and 24th in RBIs among all MLB players. He is currently on a hitting streak of four games, batting .238 in his last five outings. Yandy Diaz contributes significantly with a .291 average, 16 doubles, and 14 home runs 772 pub login 777pub. Furthermore, Jonathan Aranda stands out this season with a commendable team-high batting average of .320.

Rays Team Props

Player	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Junior Caminero	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (-105)	–	0.5 (+130)
Chandler Simpson	0.5 (-255)	1.5 (+130)	–	0.5 (+195)
Yandy Diaz	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (-115)	–	0.5 (+150)
Josh Lowe	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (-120)	–	0.5 (+145)
Jonathan Aranda	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (-115)	–	0.5 (+130)

What are your thoughts on the outcome of this highly anticipated matchup?